SEC Charges DraftKings with Disclosure Violations Over Robins Tweet

The Securities and Exchange (SEC) announced today it charged DraftKings (NASDAQ: DKNG) with divulging nonpublic, material information over CEO Jason Robins’ social media accounts. The gaming company agreed to pay $200,000 civil penalty to settle the charges.

Jason Robins
DraftKings CEO Jason Robins. The SEC fined the company $200,000 over some social media posts he made in July 2023. (Image: CNBC)

On July 27, 2023, Robins posted on his personal  X (formerly Twitter) account that the company he co-founded continued to see “really strong growth” in the states in which it was offering iGaming and sports betting. Later that day, a public relations firm representing DraftKings posted similar remarks to Robins’ LinkedIn profile. Problem was those posts occurred a week prior to the gaming company releasing its second-quarter results.

According to the order, even though Regulation FD required DraftKings to promptly disclose the information to all investors after it was selectively disclosed to some, DraftKings did not disclose the information to the public until seven days later when it announced its financial earnings for the second quarter of 2023,” said the SEC in the statement.

While LinkedIn and X are widely trafficked forums, public companies cannot fulfill SEC disclosure guidelines simply by posting information relevant to investors on those sites because in the eyes of regulators, not all of a company’s shareholders rely on social media for investing information.

DraftKings Lawyers Have Been Busy

The SEC charged DraftKings “with violations of Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act and Regulation FD.” The gaming company neither admitted nor denied the findings in the order, but it pledged to refrain from future violations of those protocols.

The case added to an increasingly hefty workload for DraftKings lawyers. Last week, the Major League Baseball Players Association (MLPBA) sued four gaming companies, including DraftKings, claiming those operators are using player names and images without the consent of those athletes or the union.

That litigation arrived just weeks after the NFL Players Association (NFLPA) sued DraftKings, claiming the sportsbook operator potentially owes it tens of millions of dollars for using player names and images in its now defunct Reignmakers nonfungible tokens (NFTs) game.

DraftKings  previously faced a class action complaint in which plaintiffs claim those NFTs were investable securities and that they suffered losses when the NFT market collapsed. In July, DraftKings shuttered its NFT marketplace and halted Reignmakers, pledging to provide some compensation to those that played the fantasy game.

Not First Time Robins’ Post Have Raised Eyebrows

The posts that drew the ire of the SEC aren’t the first instances of Robins flirting with controversy on social media. In an eight-tweet thread on X on March 28, 2023, the DraftKings chief executive officer commented on his bullishness about the company’s long-term outlook.

He didn’t explicitly mention the stock in those tweets and it’s a good thing, too, because that same day he sold 300,000 shares.

The SEC made no mention of the March 2023 posts. Under regulations set forth by the commission, any publicly traded company disseminating material information via social media must first tell investors on which platforms that data will be released.

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DraftKings Named Top Gaming Idea for Second Half by Stifel

Shares of DraftKings (NASDAQ: DKNG) closed lower by almost 1% today, but some sell-side analysts remain bullish on the stock despite a loss of 18.29% over the past 90 days.

DraftKings stock
A DraftKings billboard appears at Times Square in New York City. An analyst called the stock a top idea for the second half.(Image: NASDAQ)

In a note to clients today, Stifel analyst Jeffrey Stantial rated DraftKings a “buy’ with a $50 price target, implying upside of 34.8% from today’s closing price while noting the stock is a top pick for the second half of 2024. He pointed out that headwinds such as the recently implemented tax hike in Illinois are priced into the shares.

We see well-discussed headwinds to 2Q24/2024E Consensus (IL tax hike; Jackpocket drag) as de-risked following recent revisions, with healthy core growth drivers (evidenced by recent state reported GGR trends) posing potential upside to reset buyside expectations,” wrote the analyst.

Illinois approved a graduated tax rate on online sports betting operators, forcing the largest sportsbooks in the state to pay higher percentages. Under the plan, which into effect on July 1, Illinois now has the second-highest sports betting taxes in the country and the rate applied to big operators such as DraftKings and FanDuel parent Flutter Entertainment (NYSE: FLUT) likely more than doubled.

Focus on DraftKings Free Cash Flow, Says Stifel

Based on prior reporting patterns, it’s estimated that DraftKings will deliver second-quarter results on Aug. 1. One of the big issues analysts and investors will be monitoring is free cash flow.

The gaming company has been free cash flow negative, but has made significantly strides on that front over the past three quarters. Last year, the operator was free cash flow negative to the tune of $103.03 million, but that was a marked improvement from the -$721.95 million posted in 2022, according to Macrotrends data.

DraftKings is about four years removed from becoming a standalone publicly traded company, meaning it’s still a young firm. However, there’s increasing chatter among sell-side analysts that with free cash flow inflecting at the gaming company, return of capital to shareholders could be announced over the near term. Stantial sees that as a possibility.

“DKNG’s forthcoming capital allocation update (and likely initial return of capital) should also signal confidence in out-year FCF generation. All-told, we see a compelling setup heading into 2H24, and recommend investors own into DKNG’s Q2 print,” noted the Stifel analyst.

The analyst said a share buyback would likely be DraftKings’ preferred avenue of returning capital to investors and that the operator is unlikely to pursue large-scale mergers and acquisitions and international expansion over the near-term.

State Data Encouraging for DraftKings

While 2024 has been and will likely end to be a dud in terms of state-level expansion of online sports betting and iGaming, that factor is likely priced into sports betting equities. Specific to DraftKings, there is encouraging news in the form of rising market share in some states.

“We continue to see likely upside bias to DraftKings’ core value drivers — in particular user acquisition & monetization. Per state-reported data (see exhibits 1-6), U.S. same-state online sports betting handle growth accelerated to +24%/+29% year-over-year in April/May (vs. +17% Q1) with DKNG gaining market share sequentially in both months (though early June data suggests some reversion),” added Stantial.

The analyst also noted that many new DraftKings clients are likely casual bettors – a demographic prone to lottery-style wagering and thus higher holds for operators.

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DraftKings, MGM, Hard Rock Mull Entering Brazil Online Betting Market

Last year, Brazil established regulatory guidelines for its online wagering market — a move that’s expected to lure some of the industry’s biggest players to Latin America’s largest economies.

The Brazilian flag flying against a backdrop of the sun
The Brazilian flag flying against a backdrop of the sun. DraftKings and MGM are among the US companies that could pursue online wagering licenses there. (Image: Pixabay)

It’s rumored that US-based betting behemoths DraftKings (NASDAQ: DKNG), MGM Resorts International (NYSE: MGM), and Hard Rock International are examining avenues for entering the most populous country in the region.

The list of nearly 135 pre-registrants for Brazilian online wagering permits reads like a who’s who of the gaming industry and includes US-based firms such as Bally’s (NYSE: BALY), DraftKings, and MGM as well  as entities tied to European sportsbook giants Entain and Flutter Entertainment (NYSE: FLUT), among many more.

For domestic iGaming and sportsbook operators, the allure of Brazil is easy to understand. State-level legalization in the US is slowing with widespread belief that it could be years before California and Texas permit mobile sports betting. Conversely, Brazil has the framework in place and is home to more than 209 million people, making it the sixth-largest country in the world.

Brazil Could Increase Allure of Rush Street Interactive

Already rumored to be a takeover target, Rush Street Interactive (NYSE: RSI)could draw increased interest from potential suitors as Brazil liberalizes its online wagering market.

The reasoning is simple. It’s widely believed Brazilian regulators will be partial home-grown companies and those with established footprints in Latin America when awarding licenses. With sports betting operations in Colombia and Mexico, Rush Street Interactive is the only US-based gaming company that checks the latter box.

There has also been talk the operator could eventually enter Argentina and Peru. Should RSI prove successful in procuring a Brazilian license, it could make the firm an attractive target for another US-based operator that sees opportunity in Latin America.

Last month, Bloomberg reported that RSI approached multiple prospective buyers, including DraftKings, but the company has yet to publicly confirm such talks.

Brazil Could Be Next Great Sports Wagering Frontier

Alone, Brazil’s status as the region’s largest economy and most populous nation make it alluring for gaming companies, but there’s more to the story.

The country doesn’t have Las Vegas-style, land-based casinos and there’s little indication that policy will change anytime soon, indicating iGaming could be a hit among Brazilian bettors that want access to table games.

On the sports wagering front, Brazil is famously one of the most soccer-rabid countries in the world. It has five World Cup titles, is the only country to compete in all 21 editions of the tournament, and holds several other records, including games played, matches won, and goals scored.

Still, the NFL is increasingly popular there and Sao Paulo will host the league’s first game in South America in 2024. The NBA is also popular among residents in what is the world’s tenth-largest economy.

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DraftKings Launches Mobile Sports Betting Service in North Carolina

draftkings_launches_in_north_carolinaDraftKings, the famous North American sports betting operator, has launched its online sports betting platform in North Carolina starting on March 11 after having secured a written designation agreement with NASCAR earlier this year.

The respective written designation agreement was necessary for the sports betting operator in order to be allowed to offer its services in the state of North Carolina. The launch marks an important moment for DraftKings as the operator now has its sports betting service available in 27 American states. Moreover, the sports betting website is also available in Ontario, the most populous province in Canada.

North Carolina is a very important state when it comes to sports because it is the home state of most of the NASCAR industry and it also has high-profile professional teams in all the major North American leagues: the National Football League (NFL), the National Basketball Association (NBA) and the National Hockey League (NHL). Moreover, North Carolina has several universities competing at the Division-I level, attracting plenty of sports fans.

From now on eligible sports fans in the state will be able to place their bets on the DraftKings online sportsbook, which provides a wide range of markets and offerings, including same-game parlays, in-game betting and special odds boosts.

DraftKings underlined that its sportsbook platform in North Carolina is “safe and regulated”, offering plenty of customer protections like deposit and time limits, full access to responsible gaming resources and self-exclusion features. Moreover, DraftKings offers the new “My Stat Sheet” feature, which shows punters the exact amount of time they spent on the sports betting website and also the total amount of deposits made.

Ceremonial First Bet

The launch of legalized mobile sports betting in North Carolina is a memorable occasion and sports fans in the state will most likely remember it for quite some time as Greg Olsen, the legendary Carolina Panthers player, was designated to place a ceremonial first bet.

The event was hosted by the NASCAR Hall of Fame in Charlotte and along with Greg Olsen it benefitted from the participation of Zack Hawkins, a North Carolina State Representative Zack Hawkins, and Jeremy Elbaum, the Chief Commercial Officer of DraftKings.

DraftKings started out in 2012 and it was founded by Jason Robins, Matt Kalish and Paul Liberman. The company is headquartered in Boston and it offers online sports betting services and daily fantasy sports products.

Source: “DraftKings Set to Launch Mobile Sports Betting in North Carolina on March 11“DraftKings. March 7, 2024.

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DraftKings Q1 Earnings Could Benefit from Super Bowl Parlays, Prop Bets, Says Analyst

While most sportsbook operators were pinched by the Super Bowl because the underdog Kansas City Chiefs won outright, DraftKings’ (NASDAQ: DKNG) first-quarter earnings might prove sturdy due to the operator winning on parlays and some popular proposition wagers.

DraftKings stock
A DraftKings billboard appears at Times Square in New York City. An analyst believes the operator did well with the Super Bowl and could have big iGaming opportunities ahead. (Image: NASDAQ)

Following a meeting with several high-ranking DraftKings executives, including co-founder and CEO Jason Robins, JPMorgan analyst Joseph Greff said he came away “incrementally impressed.” He added that the operator likely notched decent hold on the Super Bowl because neither Kanas Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce nor running back Isaiah Pacheco scored touchdowns in the big game, meaning plenty of DraftKings clients that built same-game parlays with those props lost.

Continuous product iteration and technology competencies are driving higher structural hold rates, benefiting from increased adoption of its higher-margin parlay products and other diversified bet types that are unlocking increased engagement and monetization of its customer base,” observed Greff.

The analyst added DraftKings’ overall Super Bowl hold was solid even with the Chiefs winning and the operator may have given a clue to that effect by raising 2024 guidance earlier this month.

DraftKings iGaming Future Bright

As has been widely documented, gaming companies, including DraftKings, are enthusiastic about the long-term outlook for internet casinos, but just six states currently permit that form of wagering.

Greff told clients that DraftKings is considering pitching iGaming in Illinois as an avenue for plugging gaps in the that state’s budget. That’s viewed as a potential compromise to Gov. J.B. Pritzker’s (D-IL) recently proposed budget, which pitches raising the state’s tax on sports betting to 35% from 15%.

The JPMorgan analyst added that the DraftKings executives cited bullish revenue trends in the states that allow internet casinos and that the outlook for expansion is bright because some states, including New York and some in New England, are grappling with budget constraints and need to find new sources of revenue.

The executives also discussed DraftKings’ recently unveiled $750 million cash/stock deal for online lottery provider Jackpocket, telling Greff the firm will initially function as a standalone entity and later be integrated into the buyer’s sports betting and iGaming platforms. The acquisition could help DraftKings expansion efforts, including into Texas where Jackpocket is already operational, according to the analyst.

Speaking of Expansion…

DraftKings management told Greff they remain open to additional acquisitions and with a soaring share price and with $1.27 billion in cash and cash equivalents on hand at the end of 2023, the operator has the resources with which to make deals.

The analyst noted that the gaming company is open to international purchases and while specific jurisdictions weren’t mentioned, it appears DraftKings is unlikely to go shopping in Western Europe due to limited growth opportunities in that region.

Greff pointed out that given the firm’s strong cash position, it could consider a share repurchase program, but a potential dividend wasn’t mentioned.

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