Kamala Harris’ Odds Improve After 2024 Debate Against Donald Trump

By most accounts, Vice President Kamala Harris was deemed the winner of Tuesday night’s presidential debate against former President Donald Trump. Her strong performance wasn’t a total surprise, as she was the betting favorite on the political wagering exchange Polymarket to be considered the winner before the Tuesday showdown.

Kamala Harris Donald Trump 2024 odds
Donald Trump and Kamala Harris squared off for their first, and possibly last, presidential debate in Philadelphia on Tuesday, Sept. 10, 2024. The 2024 odds have moved in Harris’ favor following the more than 90-minute spectacle. (Image: Getty)

Polymarket, a decentralized wagering exchange that facilitates the buying and selling of shares of political outcomes, had Trump as the 2024 favorite before the debate. His stock was trading around 52 cents to Harris at 46 cents. Things have since changed.

Harris was poised on Tuesday night at the National Constitution Center in Philadelphia and spoke directly to the people. She baited her opponent into discussing the past, as the billionaire became visibly upset at times trying to defend his record and expose her and President Joe Biden’s.

Though Trump said Tuesday was his “best debate ever,” even Republican stalwarts said he had a bad night. He seemed unprepared at times, reverted to old talking points that have been proven not to resonate with independents or Republicans who aren’t so-called “MAGA Republicans,” and was perhaps overconfident in taking on his new Democratic rival.

Whatever prep the former casino billionaire did was a bust in the eyes of political bettors, who quickly moved their election positions to Harris.

Harris, Trump Neck and Neck

Trump has largely been the 2024 betting front-runner since his June debate with Biden, which led to the president announcing he wouldn’t seek a second term. Harris was the party’s hand-picked replacement, and so far, it’s a bet that’s paying off.

As Trump doubled down on his belief that the 2020 election was rigged and he was the rightful winner, the 2024 Polymarket contest moved in Harris’ favor. Another political wagering exchange, Betfair, reported a similar movement.

As of noon on September 11, Polymarket has Trump’s shares at 50 cents to Harris’ at 49 cents. Betfair’s 2024 odds imply a winning chance of 51.2% for Harris and even money, or 50%, for Trump.

UK sportsbooks, where political betting is allowed, also shortened Harris’ line while lengthening Trump’s. William Hill now has Harris at 4/5 (-125), or implied odds of 55.56%. Trump is at 10/11 (-110), or an implied chance of 52.38%.

Before the debate, Trump was favored at -125 and Harris was the underdog at +110.

Do Debates Matter?

While most everyone in the US is very familiar with Trump, Tuesday’s debate gave Harris her first major chance to resonate with the American people after avoiding most media interview requests and shying away from the limelight over the past three and a half years as second in command to the commander-in-chief.

Harris remained light on policy specifics, opting instead for a softer approach and trying to appeal to voters’ emotions. Trump was brash, with his supporters claiming it was a three-on-one debate, as ABC News moderators David Muir and Linsey Davis repeatedly fact-checked him while letting Harris’ talking points go unchecked.

Odds, and presumably next week’s polls, will show a shift in Harris’ favor, but voters will have the final say on November 5.

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Myanmar’s Kayin State Gambling Project Leads to Sanctions Against Officials

Myanmar is in the middle of an unofficial civil war that has at its roots, in part, an attempt to rid the country of its gambling element. The U.S., the UK, and other countries are making a statement about the ongoing conflict, introducing sanctions against two high-ranking officials in the country who also have ties to a major gambling operation.

Colonel Saw Chit Thu with his entourage traveling through Kayin
Colonel Saw Chit Thu, with his entourage, traveling through Kayin. The leader of Myanmar’s Border Guard Force faces new sanctions for his ties to illegal gambling. (Image: Frontier Myanmar)

Colonel Saw Chit Thu, a leader with the Burmese junta-tied Border Guard Force (BGF), alongside two other individuals, incurred sanctions from the UK last Friday. The other two are Chinese investor She Zhijiang and Colonel Saw Min Min Oo, a primary leader under Saw Chit Thu.

The sanctions link back to their alleged involvement in the recently established Shwe Kokko town in Kayin (previously Karen) State. This decision comes as a response to the severe accusations related to human trafficking, forced labor, and infringements on human rights against the two.

Cracking Down on Fraud Farms

On Friday, the UK unveiled the joint sanctions against Saw Chit Thu and the others. These restrictions were implemented in response to the exposure of nine individuals and five companies involved in internet-based “fraud farms” located in Cambodia, Laos, and Myanmar. It has been widely documented that the workers of those operations are victims of human trafficking.

The sanctions mean an asset freeze that prevents anyone from the participating country from dealing with the economic or financial resources of the sanctioned individual(s). In this case, it also comes with a travel ban that prevents the sanctioned individuals from traveling to or through the participating countries.

An official statement from the UK explained that Saw Chit Thu and the other two have been implicated as accomplices or beneficiaries of human trafficking in the operations of Shwe Kokko. The trio, with assistance from others, forced their victims into slave labor and allegedly routinely subjected them to torture, physical abuse, and various forms of exploitation.

The United Nations has estimated that as many as 120K individuals in Myanmar face similar conditions of forced labor. At least another 100K in Cambodia are also victims of human trafficking.

Shwe Kokko Survives Attempts to Shut it Down

The Shwe Kokko Project is a collaboration between Chit Lin Myaing Co and Yatai International Holding Group, a company registered in Hong Kong. Chit Lin Myaing Co allegedly belongs to the BGF, with Saw Chit Thu serving as its highest-ranking executive.

Saw Chit Thu and his border guards are reported to significantly benefit from the operation, which has gained a notorious reputation in Southeast Asia due to its connections with Chinese criminals. Apart from its involvement in human trafficking, labor exploitation, online fraud, and gambling, the operation presents itself as a major revenue stream for the BGF officer.

Last year, Thai police arrested She Zhijiang in Bangkok. His apprehension was triggered by a foreign warrant accusing him of managing an internet-based casino.

In addition to his involvement with Shwe Kokko, he allegedly has deep involvement in several controversial ventures in other countries, as well as in Cambodia’s gambling industry. Despite the arrest, Shwe Kokko remains operational, as highlighted by previous comments by the BGF.

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US Court Okays $415 million class settlement against “free-to-play” Casino

us_court_okays_415_million_class_settlement_against_free_to_play_casinoFollowing years of litigation, a U.S. judge on Thursday approved a $415 million class-action settlement against DoubleDown Interactive LLC and International Game Technology PLC (IGT.N). The settlement resolves claims that the “social casino” and the online gaming company violated consumer protection provisions and Washington state gambling law where personal gambling online is a felony.

U.S. District Judge Robert Lasnik in Seattle federal court called the resolution “fair, reasonable, and adequate,” in his ruling that was the final approval order and ended almost half a decade of litigant action.

Conclusion of Nearly Half a Decade of Litigation

The case arose in 2018 about one year after Aristocrat Liesure’s Big Fish Games another social gaming site with chip purchases but also a black market trading space for the “chips of no value” was found to be offering illegal casino games in the state of Washington by the 9th Circuit Court of Appeals in Kater V. Churchill Downs – the panel was assembled to hear an appeal related to the Seattle courts’ finding that the games were not illegal under state.

In the most recent case, online consumers alleged the “social casino” games developed by the defendants “constitute unlawful gambling under Washington’s gambling laws.” The settlement was the latest in a series of related cases.

The specific arm of world gambling behemoth IGT, International Game Technology PLC, is based in the U.K., and DoubleDown have denied any liability. They argued that the plaintiffs’ claims “rest on novel and untested interpretations of Washington’s gambling laws.”

The games start out free to play with a certain number of free chips granted, but players must purchase additional chips or wait a period of time for additional chips to be awarded.

The suit was brought on behalf of tens of thousands of class members who “purchased and lost chips” by wagering at DoubleDown Casino, the plaintiffs’ lawyers alleged. Attorneys argued users were entitled to recover their losses under a Washington state law.

About half a dozen class members opted out of the settlement, but there were no formal objections to the deal and there was no clear indication that those former class members intended to pursue individual cases against the firms.

Lawyers have recovered over $600m for Plaintiffs

Edelson counsel, Todd Logan, speaking on behalf of the plaintiffs said on Friday that the firm’s social-casino litigation has produced or recovered over $650 million for clients and class members to date.

Many class members stand to receive, individually, hundreds of thousands of dollars,” said Logan

Chicago-based Edelson was awarded over $120 million in the case.

Judge Lasnik’s fee award amounted to nearly 30% of the total award, outstripping the state’s and 9th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeal’s benchmark 25% top fee award for such cases.

Lasnik said the litigation was “risky, novel, and hard-fought,” in his award order, and so he approved a request for fees that went beyond a 25% benchmark.

The case is Benson et al v. DoubleDown Interactive LLC et al, U.S. District Court, Western District of Washington, No. 2:18-cv-00525-RSL.

Source: US court approves ‘social casino’ $415 million class settlement, Reuters, June 2, 2023

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Regulators in Seven US States Ask US DOJ to Act Against Offshore Operators

regulators_in_seven_us_states-As_us_doj_to_act_against_offshore_operatorsThe following article reflects the knowledge, experience, and well-reasoned opinions of the authors and is not meant to be construed in any way as legal advice. Online gamblers in all US states should consult their state laws or seek legal counsel to determine if online gambling at unlicensed offshore websites or gambling venues licensed by regulators located anywhere but within their domiciled states is a crime or a right to be exercised freely by responsible adults. The same applies to federal gambling laws or any other ancillary issue related to online gambling.

Regulators from seven US states have contacted the United States Department of Justice in an attempt to nudge the DOJ into “doing something” about offshore competition in the online gambling market.

Not Understanding Federal Law?

As is usually the case when such actions occur, the signatories refer to all offshore gambling sites with a broad brush whether purposefully or not – lumping all other operators of gambling into one basket and broadly referring to them as “illegal online gambling sites.

At least that is the implication as state regulators and spokespeople from the American Gaming Association (AGA) consistently leave out any real differentiation among casino sites licensed offshore, illegal sportsbetting sites, and the very small handful of operators that provide services to players in the USA with no known license at all.

Painting every online gambling operator with the same broad brush appears to the informed consumer or observer as disingenuous at best.

The most recent public relations gambit is co-signed by regulators in some of the most financially successful US gambling states including Colorado, Illinois, Louisiana, Michigan, Mississippi, Nevada, and New Jersey.

Some of the issues addressed in the letter to US Attorney General Merrick Garland are some real and unreal dangers the ill-informed assume are associated with gambling online. These include age verification, money laundering concerns, responsible gambling protocol, game fairness, and the lack of each or any state capturing tax revenues.

The letter also states that offshore operators are not subject to any licensing requirements. The vast majority of those points are incorrect and are most likely based on good-faith misunderstandings of how offshore online gambling operators actually operate.

Well over 90% of offshore casinos and most sportsbooks that serve US players are licensed in the jurisdiction of Curacao (formerly known as the Netherland Antilles). Operators are required to verify the identity, age, ownership of financial instruments used to deposit, a player’s address, their subscription to local utilities, and quite often a copy of their bank account statements at a minimum.

Three Decades of Compliance

Operators in the offshore jurisdiction of Curacao have followed essentially the same protocol since the mid-1990s.

These documents cover nearly all of the concerns raised by the regulators including money-laundering concerns.

The over-arching government-sanctioned gambling license issuer makes sure that anti-money laundering concerns are taken care of through international authorities in compliance with an anti-money laundering/counter financing of terrorism (AML/CFT) framework that addresses both risk issues.

In a nutshell, what’s known as “document verification” – which is enforced by 99% of all offshore operators as any offshore player knows – addresses all concerns listed except responsible gambling issues and tax collections.

Responsible gambling is only addressed at the most critical level which is gambler self-exclusion. Even there, if an operator refuses to let a gambler self-exclude, they will have their Curacao license revoked. However, there are no auxiliary tools available for players to set deposit or time limits, force breaks at prescribed time intervals, or any of the other things more stringent regulatory regimes such as the Malta Gaming Authority or the British Gambling Commission may require.

That leaves the competition for the gambling dollar and state tax revenues buried in slurs of illegality, and black market accusations.

While this may seem to be counter-intuitive, offshore casinos are actually not illegal at the federal level nor have they ever been in the United States. It is, however, incumbent upon each consumer to check their own state laws to determine if the practice might be legal in their state. If competent legal counsel is indicated, that should be sought.

The Wire Act of 1961

Interstate or Inter-territorial sports betting is illegal in the United States and has been since 1961. While the US DOJ under various administrations has sided with casino moguls such as the late Sheldon Adelson in determining offshore casino gambling to be illegal, the world’s biggest lottery company by gross receipt,s, IGT recently sought and received a declaratory judgment (once and for all) that very specifically informs that The Wire Act only applies to sports betting operations. The act of casino gambling has no federal law to prohibit it.

The sticky wicket in this reality is the UIGEA (Unlawful Internet Gambling Enforcement Act of 2006) which neither creates new gambling laws nor modifies any existing laws as clearly stated in the law itself. It does, however, make most online financial transactions (deposits and withdrawals) illegal and de facto money laundering simply because US financial institutions have been given “guidance” that assumes the Wire Act applies to all interstate or inter-territorial wagers.

However, the very act of providing a gambling service or a US citizen partaking in offshore gambling is not a crime at the federal level by any law this editor has seen in nearly three decades in the industry. so it’s unclear how Attorney General Merrick Garland could be of assistance to state regulators unless he attacks the practice “from the side” and deems them all to be illegal thanks to incorrect guidance from the Federal Trade Commission (FTC) and the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) which was issued during the Bush administration in 2007 under the false premise that the Wire Act actually applied to anything but sportsbetting.

In the letter to AG Garland, the Executive Director of the Michigan Gaming Control Board (MGCB), Henry Williams states: “In Michigan, strict laws and rules govern internet gaming and sports betting and provide consumer protections, promote confidence and ensure fair and honest gaming. We are willing to help the US Department of Justice in any way we can as it pursues enforcement of US laws against offshore illegal gaming enterprises that take advantage of our citizens.

State regulators like the MGCB ensure operators offer products that pass technical standards and testing, and we also require operators to comply with reporting requirements.

“Offshore operators flaunt state regulations and offer products that do not protect the public, which greatly concerns me and my fellow state regulators,” Williams added.

He continued, “Regulated operators recognize licensing is a privilege that can be taken away, but illegal operators do not face similar consequences for failure to follow laws and maintain integrity.”

Source: Regulators urge DoJ to take action on offshore gambling, iGaming Business, May 5, 2023

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UConn Opens as a Favorite Against San Diego State in NCAA Championship Game

Two teams remain in the hunt for the March Madness men’s college basketball championship, and #4 UConn squares off against #5 San Diego State in the final on Monday evening in Houston, Texas. UConn is currently a 7.5-point betting favorite over San Diego State.

San Diego State Lamont Butler buzzer-beater Final Four March Madness FAU UConn championship odds
San Diego State players mob guard Lamont Butler (5) after he drilled a game-winning buzzer beater to lead the Aztecs to a victory against Florida Atlantic in the 2023 Final Four at NRG Stadium in Houston, Texas. (Image: AP)

When oddsmakers in Las Vegas opened the championship line on Saturday evening, UConn was installed as -6.5 favorite according to MGM. Early money backed UConn, and the line moved a full point as of Sunday morning.

For underdog bettors, San Diego State is now getting +7.5 points. You can back them on the moneyline at +290 on DraftKings. UConn is currently -350 as the moneyline favorite.

The points total in the championship game is currently 132 over/under. The total initially opened at 130.5 o/u.

UConn and San Diego State tipoffs off at 8:20pm ET at NRG Stadium in Houston.

According to ESPN, only 2.4% out of two million entries in their Men’s Tournament Challenge selected UConn to win the championship. Only 0.3% of all March Madness brackets at ESPN picked San Diego State to win the title.

San Diego State Advances on Buzzer Beater

San Diego State was the only team in the Final Four who were ranked according to the preseason AP Top 25 College Basketball Poll. The Aztecs began the season at #19, and they entered March Madness at #18.

San Diego State defeated Florida Atlantic, 72-71, on a buzzer beater to advance to the championship game. Florida Atlantic blew a 12-point lead in the second half, and San Diego State won their Final Four battle thanks to a 17-foot jumper at the buzzer from Lamon Butler.

Butler, a junior guard, averaged only 8.7 points per game for San Diego State this season. He had scored only seven points against Florida Atlantic prior to his game-winning shot.

I always dreamed of this moment,” Butler said. “I’m just happy it was able to come to fruition.”

San Diego State’s road to the Final Four included victories against #12 Charleston, #13 Furman, #1 Alabama, and #6 Creighton. San Diego State squeaked by Creighton in a one-point victory in the Elite Eight to advance to the Final Four.

Florida Atlantic embarked on a Cinderella run in this year’s March Madness as the #9 seed. The little-known Owls defeated #8 Memphis, #16 FDU, #4 Tennessee, and #3 Kansas State to earn their first-ever trip to the Final Four.

Before the tournament began, San Diego State was +6000 odds to win March Madness according to DraftKings’ futures board. Their title odds improved to +380 at the start of the Final Four.

San Diego State struggled to cover the point spread this season with a 19-16-2 ATS record, but they went 5-1 ATS during March Madness.




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UConn Blows Out Miami

In the final AP Poll at the end of the regular season, UConn was ranked #10 in the nation, and Miami was ranked #16. Neither team earned a preseason ranking.

UConn obliterated everyone in their path to the championship game, and they won four March Madness games by at least 23 points. The Huskies became only the sixth team in March Madness history to win their first five tournament games by a double-digit margin. They blew out #13 Iona, #5 St. Mary’s, #8 Arkansas, and #3 Gonzaga to lock up a spot in the Final Four.

Miami fell behind early, but tied the game at 19-19 midway through the first half. Propelled by a 18-5 run, UConn headed into halftime with a 13-point lead. Miami trailed by 20-plus in the second half, but their last-gasp rallies fell short. UConn held on to win 72-59.

We’re able to kind of body blow our opponent,” said UConn head coach Danny Hurley.

“We feel like we’re the best defense in the nation,” added senior guard Tristen Newton.

UConn forward Adama Sanogo led all scorers with 21 points in the victory. The junior, originally from Mali, also hauled down ten rebounds and blocked two shots.

Miami was designated with a #5 seed in March Madness. They defeated #12 Drake, #4 Indiana, #1 Houston, and #2 Texas to earn a spot in the Final Four.

When the tournament began, UConn was +1600 odds to win March Madness. At the start of the Final Four, UConn saw their championship odds improve to -125.

UConn is the second-best betting team in the country this season with a 26-11-1 ATS record. They covered all five March Madness games, and they’re 10-1 ATS in their previous 11 games.




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